2018 Emmy Winner Predictions: Drama, Comedy, Limited Series and TV Movie

With a field-best 18 nominations in its section, The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story is the clear frontrunner. It has directing and writing noms and six acting nods. Godless is its closest competitor but it doesn’t really feel like a competition at all.

LIMITED SERIES
1. The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)
2. Godless (Netflix)
3. Patrick Melrose (Showtime)
4. Genius: Picasso (National Geographic)
5. The Alienist (TNT)

2018 Emmy Winner Predictions: Drama, Comedy, Limited Series and TV Movie

2018 Emmy Winner Predictions: Drama, Comedy, Limited Series/TV Movie Acting Categories

Lead Actress in a Limited Series/TV Movie should be a race between Laura Dern (The Tale), who finally won here in supporting last year for Big Little Lies (which will compete in the Drama categories next year), and two-time winner Regina King in Seven Seconds. Many people didn’t even have her getting a nomination but the voters love her now and she is definitely competing for the win. Jessica Biel is also a contender for The Sinner, having finally earned the actress credit she had been looking for in her career. Multi-nominee Michelle Dockery moved out of Downton Abbey and into the wild west for Godless and could be a spoiler here. Lead Actor is tough because Darren Criss should be the frontrunner here for The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story but will voters think he’s too young? He’s going up against some tough competition in previous winners Jeff Daniels (The Looming Tower) and Benedict Cumberbatch (Patrick Melrose) that voters may simply name-check but Criss has the stronger project and that should tip him over.

LEAD ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR A MOVIE

1. Darren Criss, “The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story”
2. Benedict Cumberbatch, “Patrick Melrose”
3. John Legend, “Jesus Christ Superstar: Live in Concert”
4. Jeff Daniels, “The Looming Tower”
5. Jesse Plemons, “USS Callister: Black Mirror”
6. Antonio Banderas, “Genius: Picasso”


A weird category if there ever was one. Largely Emmy newcomers up against two previous winners: Jeff Daniels and John Leguizamo. I’m predicting a bit of a surprise win for Brandon Victor Dixon who was the critical standout of Jesus Christ Superstar: Live in Concert. While I don’t think the three men from The Assassination Of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story will “cancel each other out,” I’m not sure if any are strong enough to win in their own right.

On the other side, Judith Light (The Assassination Of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story) should be able to win over her co-star Penélope Cruz. While the leads for Limited Series aren’t required to submit an episode, the supporting nominees are and Light has the gold to win. I think she might face some competition from previous Emmy winner Merritt Wever (Godless) and first-time Letitia Wright (Black Mirror) but I feel very good about Light winning.

SUPPORTING ACTOR IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
1. Brandon Victor Dixon, “Jesus Christ Superstar: Live in Concert”
2. Jeff Daniels, “Godless”
3. John Leguizamo, “Waco”
4. Edgar Ramírez, “The Assassination Of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story”
5. Michael Stuhlbarg, “The Looming Tower”
6. Ricky Martin, “The Assassination Of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story”
7. Finn Wittrock, “The Assassination Of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story”

SUPPORTING ACTRESS IN A LIMITED SERIES OR MOVIE
1. Judith Light, “The Assassination Of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story”

2. Merritt Wever, “Godless”
3. Letitia Wright, “Black Museum: Black Mirror”
4. Sara Bareilles, “Jesus Christ Superstar Live In Concert”
5. Adina Porter, “American Horror Story: Cult”
6. Penélope Cruz, “The Assassination Of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story”

2018 Emmy Winner Predictions: Drama, Comedy, Limited Series/TV Movie Acting Categories

2018 Emmy Winner Predictions: Writing and Directing Categories

Limited Series could be a tough fight. The Assassination Of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story has the most nominations for a Limited Series/TV Movie (18) and the episode nominated was heralded as the most poignant and heartbreaking (it is) and I think those factors tip it in its favor. But Black Mirror just won here last year (with San Junipero) and its nominated TV Movie this year, USS Callister, was a massively praised hit. Scott Frank (Godless) is a respected writer in both film and television and then there’s David Lynch. Shockingly, Twin Peaks: The Return was completely snubbed in Limited Series and all acting categories but Lynch showed up here and in directing. He’s a longshot but maybe this would be a consolation but directing would make more sense for that.

Here are my ranked winner predictions for the 2018 Emmys in Writing and Directing for Comedy Series, Drama Series, Limited Series/TV Movie, Variety Series and Variety Special.

WRITING FOR A LIMITED SERIES, TV MOVIE OR DRAMATIC SPECIAL
1. Tom Rob Smith, “The Assassination Of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story” (“House By The Lake”)
2. William Bridges and Charlie Brooker, “USS Callister: Black Mirror”
3. Scott Frank, “Godless”
4. David Nicholls, “Patrick Melrose”
5. David Lynch and Mark Frost, “Twin Peaks”
6. Kevin McManus and Matthew McManus, “American Vandal” (“Clean Up”)

Next up…Directing for Comedy Series, Drama Series, Limited Series, Variety Series and Variety Special

Limited Series is probably a closer race than it seems. The Assassination Of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story should be the frontrunner and another win for creator Ryan Murphy but Jesus Christ Superstar: Live in Concert blew everyone away with 13 nominations. It’s a real force to be reckoned with here. Scott Frank is also a top contender. As the creator and sole writer/director of Godless (which has 12 nominations) voters might feel compelled to award him for such a huge undertaking. Then there’s David Lynch. Could he take one of Twin Peaks‘ nine nominations home as a win?

DIRECTING FOR A LIMITED SERIES, TV MOVIE OR DRAMATIC SPECIAL
1. Ryan Murphy, “The Assassination Of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story” (“The Man Who Would Be Vogue”)
2. David Leveaux (director) and Alex Rudzinski (Live Television Director), “Jesus Christ Superstar: Live In Concert”
3. Scott Frank, “Godless”
4. David Lynch, “Twin Peaks”
5. Edward Berger, “Patrick Melrose”
6. Craig Zisk, “The Looming Tower” (“9/11”)
7. Barry Levinson, “Paterno”

2018 Emmy Winner Predictions: Writing and Directing Categories

2018 Emmys: FINAL Emmy Nomination Predictions in Drama, Comedy, Limited Series/TV Movie, Reality and Variety

The nominations for the 70th Primetime Emmy Awards are in just a few days and I have my FINAL predictions in Drama Series, Comedy Series, Limited Series, TV Movie, all acting, writing and directing and Variety and Reality categories.

After you’ve perused these surefire predictions, take a trip over the newest Emmy podcasts with Awardsdaily TV’s Joey Moser and GoldDerby’s Riley Chow for more in-depth analysis and predictions.

I’ll be live-tweeting the Emmy nominations on July 12th starting at 8:30am PST so tune in!

Here are my final Emmy nomination predictions for the 70th Primetime Emmy Awards.

Outstanding Limited Series

1. American Crime Story: The Assassination of Gianni Versace (FX)
2. The Looming Tower (Hulu)
3. Godless (Netflix)
4. Twin Peaks: The Return (Showtime)
5. Howards End (Starz)

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series/TV Movie

1. Kyle MacLachlan, Twin Peaks: The Return (Showtime)
2. Darren Criss, The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)
3. Jeff Daniels, The Looming Tower (Hulu)
4. Al Pacino, Paterno (HBO)
5. Benedict Cumberbatch, Patrick Melrose (Showtime)
6. Evan Peters, American Horror Story: Cult (FX)

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited Series/TV Movie

1. Edgar Ramirez, The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)
2. Bill Pullman, The Sinner (USA)
3. Jeff Daniels, Godless (Netflix)
4. Peter Sarsgaard, The Looming Tower (Hulu)
5. Tahar Rahim, The Looming Tower (Hulu)
6. Bill Camp, The Looming Tower (Hulu)

OTHER CONTENDERS
Brandon Victor Dixon, Jesus Christ Superstar Live (NBC)
Cody Fern, The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)
Michael Shannon, Fahrenheit 451 (HBO)
Jimmi Simpson, USS Callister: Black Mirror (Netflix)
Michael Stuhlbarg, The Looming Tower (Hulu)
Sam Waterston, Godless (Netflix)

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited Series/TV Movie

1. Laura Dern, Twin Peaks: The Return (Showtime)
2. Nicole Kidman, Top of the Lake: China Girl (Sundance)
3. Judith Light, The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)
4. Penelope Cruz, The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)

5. Angela Lansbury, Little Women (BBC America)
6. Elizabeth Debicki, The Tale (HBO)

2018 Emmys: FINAL Emmy Nomination Predictions in Drama, Comedy, Limited Series/TV Movie, Reality and Variety

2018 Emmy Predictions: Updated and Ranked

Outstanding Limited Series

1. The Looming Tower (Hulu)
2. American Crime Story: The Assassination of Gianni Versace (FX)
3. Twin Peaks: The Return (Showtime)
4. Godless (Netflix)
5. Top of the Lake: China Girl (Sundance)

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series/TV Movie

1. Kyle MacLachlan, Twin Peaks: The Return (Showtime)
2. Darren Criss, The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)
3. Jeff Daniels, The Looming Tower (Hulu)
4. Al Pacino, Paterno (HBO)
5. Benedict Cumberbatch, Patrick Melrose (Showtime)
6. Evan Peters, American Horror Story: Cult (FX)

Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Limited Series/TV Movie

1. Edgar Ramirez, The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)
2. Michael Shannon, Fahrenheit 451 (HBO)
3. Jeff Daniels, Godless (Netflix)
4. Peter Sarsgaard, The Looming Tower (Hulu)
5. Tahar Rahim, The Looming Tower (Hulu)
6. Bill Camp, The Looming Tower (Hulu)

OTHER CONTENDERS
Brandon Victor Dixon, Jesus Christ Superstar Live (NBC)
Cody Fern, The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)
Russell Hornsby, Seven Seconds (Netflix)
Michael Stuhlbarg, The Looming Tower (Hulu)
Sam Waterston, Godless (Netflix)

Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Limited Series/TV Movie

1. Laura Dern, Twin Peaks: The Return (Showtime)
2. Nicole Kidman, Top of the Lake: China Girl (Sundance)
3. Judith Light, The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)
4. Penelope Cruz, The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story (FX)

5. Angela Lansbury, Little Women (BBC)
6. Ellen Burstyn, The Tale (HBO)

2018 Emmy Predictions: Updated and Ranked