Final 2018 Emmy Nomination Predictions: Are Any Real Upsets Possible?

Outstanding Limited Series

“American Vandal”
“The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story”
“Godless”
“Howard’s End”
“The Looming Tower”
“Twin Peaks”

Lowdown: Five of these nominees are locks. The big question is whether “American Vandal” will find enough support with mainstream Television Academy members or does “Top of the Lake: China Girl,” “Patrick Melrose” or, cough, “Genius: Picasso” fill out the category.

Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or Movie

Darren Criss, “Assassination of Gianni Versace”
Benedict Cumberbatch, “Patrick Melrose”
Jeff Daniels, “The Looming Tower”
Michael B. Jordan, “Fahrenheit 451”
Kyle MacLachlan, “Twin Peaks”
Al Pacino, “Paterno”

Lowdown: “Genius’“ Antonio Banderas has an outside chance, but this is a weak, weak category this year. Anyone besides the seven mentioned would be a major surprise.

Final 2018 Emmy Nomination Predictions: Are Any Real Upsets Possible?

Emmy Voting Begins But Will Anyone Be Surprised By The Outcome?

[…] In many ways though some of the juice of  that “Big Little Lies” vs. “Feud” showdown in the Limited Series categories last year, a battle the HBO entry eventually dominated, is missing.  “Twin Peaks” vs. “The Looming Tower” vs. “The Assassination of Gianni Versace”doesn’t have quite the same pull and probably because the celebrated David Lynch series of the three aired so long ago.

Emmy Voting Begins But Will Anyone Be Surprised By The Outcome?

Watch What Happens Live Comes To LA And Courts Emmy Voters

This isn’t the first time “Watch What Happens Live! with Andy Cohen” has shot in Los Angeles, but there was something different Monday night about the Bravo talk show’s broadcast at the historic Wiltern theater. Oh, right. It was the rows of Television Academy Emmy voting members invited to catch the festivities first hand.

[…] As for the night’s episode, Cohen’s guests were two other Emmy contenders, “This Is Us‘” Milo Ventimiglia and “The Assassination of Gianni Versace’s“ Ricky Martin (who Cohen repeatedly reminded us also has a current Las Vegas residency). Word was having the two potential acting nominees on hand wasn’t planned for an audience partially filled with Television Academy voters, but it didn’t hurt FX’s campaigns that Darren Criss, also from “Versace,” stopped by at the end of the half hour to take shots with Cohen and his guests (Oh, drinking is also a big part of the ‘WWHL’ experience). Viewers learned that Ventimiglia is sort of a bad interview (the large audience might have hurt) and Martin is pretty blunt (he chastised himself for not coming out during a notorious Barbara Walters interview in 2010). The sound also was problematic (the audience often had problems hearing what was being said on stage), but a lesson learned when figuring out where to film the next time around. Other guests this week in LA include the entire cast of “The Real Housewives of Beverly Hills,” Anna Faris and Snoop Dogg, among others.

Watch What Happens Live Comes To LA And Courts Emmy Voters

Early Emmy Nomination Predictions Prompts Lots Of Tough Questions

What exactly do Emmy voters think of “The Assassination of Gianni Versace”?
The good news for Ryan Murphy and FX is there is seemingly less competition in the Limited Series categories than years past.  So much so that it would be shocking if the latest “American Crime Story” season didn’t earn a nod in the top category.  Beyond that recognition and a likely nod for star Darren Criss, a “People vs. O.J.” sweep seems remote.  On the one hand, reviews were mostly very good with a 74 average on Metacritic, but the TV ratings were often just a third of “People vs. O.J.” instead on par with last year’s FX nominees “Fargo” season three and “Feud: Bette and Joan.”  That being said there has been a lot of passionate debate over the historical inaccuracies or “liberties” the show takes in regards to both Versace (outing him as having HIV for instance) and his killer, Andrew Cunanan (too many to list).  It’s still compelling television, but will it be a harder sell than FX might think or does the Murphy brand rule when “Big Little Lies” isn’t around?

Early Emmy Nomination Predictions Prompts Lots Of Tough Questions

2018 Outstanding Limited Series Emmy Contenders

Unlike last season where an expected showdown between “Big Little Lies” and “Feud: Bette vs. Joan” turned into a sweep for the former this year’s Limited Series crop has delivered a more wide-open race.  FX’s “Assassination of Gianni Versace” and Showtime’s “Twin Peaks“ have to be considered the frontrunners, but Hulu’s “The Looming Tower” has a great shot as well.  Who will fill out the remaining five slots remains to be seen.  Netflix’s “Godless” and Showtime’s “Patrick Melrose” seem likely, but there are a number of stealth candidates still in the mix. [Posted March 27]

Frontrunners
“Assassination of Gianni Versace”
“Godless”
“The Looming Tower”
“Patrick Melrose”
“Twin Peaks”

Almost there
“American Vandal”
“Howard’s End”
“The Sinner”
“Top of the Lake: China Girl”

Longshots
“Alias Grace”
“The Alienist”
“Collateral”
“Genius: Picasso”
“Mosaic”
“The Terror”

2018 Outstanding Limited Series Emmy Contenders

2018 Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Emmy Predictions

This year is seemingly less competitive than you’d expect.  Do Benedict Cuberbatch or Jeff Daniels get snubbed?  Unlikely.  Can Antonio Banderas make the cut?  Possible, but we’re not so sure.  Frankly, the final six in this category may already be set.  [Posted April 4]

Frontrunners
Darren Criss, “Assassination of Gianni Versace”
Benedict Cumberbatch, “Patrick Melrose”
Jeff Daniels, “The Looming Tower”
Michael B. Jordan, “Fahrenheight 451”
Kyle MacLachlan, “Twin Peaks”
Al Pacino, “Paterno”

Almost there
Antonio Banderas, “Genius: Picasso”
Daniel Bruhl, “The Alienist”
Evan Peters, “American Horror Story: Cult”
Michael Shannon, “Waco”

2018 Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or Movie Emmy Predictions

‘The Assassination Of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story’ Is A Frustrating Showcase For Darren Criss [Review]

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There’s nothing intrinsically wrong with conventional, chronological cinematic storytelling, nor is there anything fundamentally good about non-linear structures in film. There must be a good reason to alter a story’s chronology, be it to convey a character’s subjective perception of events (“Memento”), to make a reveal at the most opportune moment (“The Usual Suspects”), or simply because you are Quentin Tarantino (“Pulp Fiction”). To employ a reverse-chronological structure for no purpose other than to be unconventional would make for a very frustrating experience indeed.

“The Assassination of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story” tells the story of Andrew Cunanan, the real-life serial killer who murdered fashion icon Versace on the front steps of his villa. The series opens with Versace’s murder, and works backwards from there, exploring Cunanan’s life and previous murders. Occasionally, it checks in with Versace in the years leading up to his death.

Cunanan is played by Darren Criss, and if there’s any takeaway from this whole endeavor it’s that Criss is a monumental talent and that will almost certainly win “Outstanding Lead Actor in a Limited Series or TV Movie” at the next Emmys ceremony. He’s breathtaking as Cunanan, a pathological liar and attention seeker who presents himself as being a dapper man-about-town with charisma to spare (he charms an American Express customer service agent into extending his line of credit over the phone — while simultaneously injecting heroin into his toe on the floor of his crappy motel room).

When “The Assassination of Gianni Versace” is great, it’s because of Criss’s performance. Whether Cunanan is lying his way into bed with the love of his life (a handsome young man by the name of David Madson, who ends up one of Cunanan’s early murder victims) or tracking his deadbeat father to the Philippines in the show’s most heartbreaking sequence, Criss plays it with just the ration of psychotic and pathetic. His performance is so outstanding that it’s a pity creator Ryan Murphythought it necessary to underscore so many of his scenes with comically ominous music. Criss gets these shades of his character just right; the musical assist does nothing other than to push the show into melodrama.

Murphy’s insecurity here is apparent not just in the show’s unnecessarily pointed score. The underlying problem with all ‘The Assassination of Gianni Versace’ is its very structure. Here we have a story that would be maximally effective if told in traditional, boring, plain-old chronological order. It’s a story of a young man with a troubled past, whose sanity and personhood are stripped away by the circumstances of his life, until the tragedy of his life manifests in the most violent of ways. Watching as Cunanan’s mental stability wavered little by little, his pathological lying and violent tendencies increasing as time went on might not have been the most radical of viewing experiences, but could still have been fascinating — and even outstanding.  But instead of letting the story, and characters speak for themselves, Murphy has decided to tell Cunanan’s story in reverse chronological order. The series begins with Versace’s assassination, moves backwards through each of Cunanan’s previous victims, and ends up at Cunanan’s childhood. The idea here is ostensibly to reveal Cunanan’s traumatic backstory only after showing us the crimes he committed as an adult.

This non-linear device is infuriating. Murphy’s method of dispensing information is flawed; he’ll have a character tell the story of their relationship with Cunanan in one episode only to spend the entirety of the subsequent episode showing us that same story — a story that we already know. There are full episodes that function as prequels to previous episodes, never shedding any light onto Cunanan’s motivations or characters — because none of the information is new.

The show’s midsection — episodes 3 through 6 — tell the story of Andrew’s first four murders. It’s not all bad (Andrew’s relationship with David, while frustratingly told, is a fascinating, and at times heartbreaking, story), but mostly it feels like network-TV serial-killer procedural fare, the sort of thing that might have been super popular five years ago. There’s an episode devoted to the killing of real-estate tycoon Lee Miglin — you can, and probably should, skip the episode entirely. No new ideas are presented, nothing interesting occurs, and Judith Light is entirely wasted as Miglin’s wife (herself a hugely successful perfume icon).

The fifth episode of ‘The Assassination of Gianni Versace’ spends some time telling the tragic story of Jeff Trail — a man I’d never heard of, but who deserves recognition as a hero. Jeff, who is eventually murdered quite brutally by Andrew Cunanan, was a closeted gay man in the military during the era of “Don’t Ask Don’t Tell.” His life unravels after he rescues a gay soldier from being murdered in his sleep, causing his superior officers to suspect Jeff himself of being gay. Jeff is played here by Finn Wittrock, who is brilliant in the role: strong, full of conviction, confused. However, the episode eventually circles back around to Jeff’s relationship with Cunanan, and ends up in the same cyclical repetitiveness that plagues ‘Versace’ throughout.

If the show’s later episodes presented Cunanan’s story in a more subjective light, if we were seeing the events unfold from the killer’s warped perspective, the retelling of these events might have been worthwhile. Instead, all that we get is information that we already knew, packaged in the bleak old veneer of a serial-killer procedural.

The series’ penultimate episode is likely its best. It tells the story of Andrew’s relationship with his father, Modesto Cunanan, played unconventionally by Jon Jon Briones. Modesto is a Filipino immigrant trying to make it as a stockbroker in America. We see a lot of adult Andrew in his father, who lies and cheats on a slightly less-ambitious scale to the one his son eventually will adopt. It’s the first episode to give us any insight into Andrew’s eventual actions, especially the pathological lying that becomes so much a part of who Andrew is. If only this was the first episode, and every episode after it chronological in nature, “The Assassination of Gianni Versace” would have been infinitely more engaging. The missed opportunity here is staggering.

On the show’s periphery throughout is Gianni Versace (Edgar Ramírez) and his sister Donatella (Penélope Cruz). Theirs is not the story Murphy has set out to tell, not really, and it shows in every one of their scenes. We watch (in reverse chronology, natch) as Versace almost dies of AIDS, recovers miraculously, gets back on his feet… only to be murdered by Andrew Cunanan. The Versace story as told here isn’t particularly striking, is only periodically engaging; it feels a bit like an afterthought. Ramírez and Cruz are both excellent in the small roles that they have, but nothing that happens in this part of the show is especially noteworthy.

“American Crime Story: The Assassination of Gianni Versace” will have one lasting legacy: jumpstarting Darren Criss’s career as a respected TV actor. There will also probably be memes (Criss, dressed in a flashy red leather suit, dancing wildly to “Whip It” is particularly gif-able). But it has nothing on “The People v. O.J. Simpson, American Crime Story” whose success can be attributed to its absolutely riveting, character-based — albeit conventional — storytelling. [C+]

‘The Assassination Of Gianni Versace: American Crime Story’ Is A Frustrating Showcase For Darren Criss [Review]